Tuesday, 22 April 2014

The Co-Op is not coping?

The Co-operative Group has published their worst ever results in their 150-year history. The company announced losses of £2.5bn, with over 80% of this deriving from their problematic banking arm, of which the group recently lost their 70% stake to US hedge funds during the Bank’s rescue. The interim Chief Executive described the year as “disastrous”. Mr Pennycook added “These results should serve as a wake-up call to anyone who doubts just how serious the challenges we face are”. He went on to say, “The scale of this disaster will rightly shock our members, our customers and our colleagues.”
In the last five years the group has been plagued with soaring costs and the next few years don’t look promising for the group either. The company does not expect to make a profit for the next two years. Moreover, Mr Pennycook has cited that he believes it will take at least a decade for the business to completely recover from their worst year ever.
Moving forward, the company has already declared its intention to cut costs by £300m, which could potentially lead to job cuts to their 100,000-employee workforce. The Co-operative Food division has plans to open 100 new small convenience stores this year as a part of their new strategy to focus on small towns and villages. Some argue this new strategy places pressing questions on their earlier £1.57bn acquisition of the Somerfield supermarket chain in March 2009. The addition of large stores to the already extensive Co-op’s estate portfolio, which currently consists of 650 unproductive properties of which 33% are vacant, will put the CEO under further scrutiny. Recently, the UK’s fifth-largest food retailer (6.1% market share) has suffered from falling sales and underlying profits due to the cost of store closures along with price reductions.
Last month, a £400m black hole was discovered putting the bank in a dilemma in regards to whether new shares should be issued to fill this sizable gap. Ultimately, this would mean the Co-op Group would have to raise £120m if it is to retain their 30% shareholding in the Bank. Black holes within the balance sheets seem to be a common occurrence in the Co-op’s Bank. Previous to this, a £1.5bn black hole was discovered in April 2013, shortly after the Bank unsuccessfully attempted to purchase 632 Lloyds Bank branches.
The co-operative movement was set up in Rochdale, in the North of England, where their members consisting of small retailers, wanted to combine their purchasing power. Today, the Co-operative Group remains a “mutual” business, owned by its customers and 8 million members and is the biggest of its kind in the UK. During the last century, the Co-operative Group has diversified into different lines of businesses. It now owns the third-largest chain of Pharmacies, where profits have increased by £5m despite falling sales. The Co-operative Group also own a successful funeral provider, the nation’s biggest, where both sales and profits are increasing.
Critics frequently highlight the complexity of the Co-op’s corporate structure that makes it ungovernable; former Chief Executive, Euan Sutherland, has reiterated this view. Furthermore, Lord Myners stated that the group spent too much time focusing on acquisition deals that proved “breathtakingly value-destructive” and as a result the Co-op has amassed a great deal of unsustainable debt. The future of the Co-operative group is uncertain, however it is more than clear that the company has to make structural changes if it is to continue to exist. However, this revision will prove a substantial task considering the group has almost 300 subsidiaries and a more than complex structure.

By Richmond Amoah

Sunday, 23 February 2014

What’s up with WhatsApp?

This week Facebook bought WhatsApp, the instant messaging mobile application for a staggering $19 Billion dollars (approximately £11.42 Billion). Given the firm was only founded five years ago, this is considered quite a high price and adds to the growing scepticism surrounding the technology industry of over-valued companies, similar to that occurring before the dot-com crash of 2000.

On the otherhand WhatsApp’s valuation can be justified by the fact that it is the world’s fastest growing social network, as 1 million new users join the network’s existing 450 million user base every single day, dwarfing that of Facebook at its peak. In addition it’s at the forefront of smartphone-based messaging mobile apps that is sweeping the world. The others within this small group are mostly regional competitors. These include the Japan’s Line that boasts 340 million users and China’s WeChat with 272 million active users. These start-ups took full advantage of the popularity of data plans that emerged due to the success of smart phones in 2008.

So what exactly is WhatsApp?
It’s an application available on all the major mobile-phone platforms such as Apple and Android, that allows users to send unlimited text, audio, video and picture messages to other users around the world over the internet, without incurring expensive carrier charges. Essentially WhatsApp replaces traditional text messaging and users of the service need no login with the only requirement being a phone number. To date, WhatsApp has never engaged in any advertising campaigns, relying solely on word of mouth for user growth. Currently WhatsApp main income source is subscription fees, which it annually charges to users at £0.69 after a year-long free service. The application’s unique selling point is that it offers the ability to engage in-group conversations and is deemed as a lot more hassle-free than their Facebook or Twitter alternatives. The founder, Yan Koum has avoided the introduction of advertising onto the platform, as he believes it will curb users away. However some users are doubtful whether or not this approach will continue due to Facebook’s increasing reliance on advertising from their core elements. On the other hand, one of the services’ disadvantages is that you need the Internet to use it, unlike text messages that rely entirely on carriers. However this is not too problematic, for users in developed nations, as most people there, live and work within urban areas with strong signals, with most in 3G and 4G enabled areas.

Facebook
Recently, Facebook reportedly attempted to acquire Snapchat, in November of last year for a $3 Billion cash offer, even though the firm continuously made losses. This successful deal on the other and, represents Facebook’s biggest acquisition to date and the highest start up buyout in history. Surprisingly the takeover deal was only initiated 11 days before the announcement and was completed on Valentines Day with the assistance of Morgan Stanley and Allen and Co. Initially the market reacted negatively, as following the deal Facebook shares fell by 5%, before quickly recovering slightly. The £11.4 billion deal was represents approximately 10% of Facebook market capitalization and comprises of £2.4Billion in cash, £7.18 billion in Facebook shares and £1.8 billion in restricted stock to WhatsApp employees, an incentive for them to stay with the firm.  Facebooks founder, Mark Zuckerberg said “I’ve also known Jan for a long time, and I know that we both share the vision of making the world more open and connected.”

Why pay so much?
In acquiring the messaging service, Facebook will get access to WhatsApp young, teenage audience, which it has been losing, according to Pew Research Centre. The paper concluded Teenagers have been maintaining lower profiles on Facebook and instead are spending more of their time on WhatsApp and Snapchat. This buyout may help Facebook regain their original target audience back to their social network of 757 million active daily users
What’s next?
However WhatsApp users will look elsewhere if Facebook ownership means messaging services continue to stop working, which occurred on 22 February for 3 hours, only 3 days after the announcement.  In the meantime, Jan Koum will be joining Facebook’s board after a job rejection from Facebook only a few years ago. "We're excited and honoured to partner with Mark and Facebook as we continue to bring our product to more people around the world." Koum has insisted that WhatsApp will remain in their Mountain View Headquarters in California and will remain independent from Facebook’s existing messaging service.
Only time will tell, whether Facebook’s huge investment in WhatsApp will actually pay off, as WhatsApp’s hostility towards advertising, dramatically reduces the firm’s potential income streams. However one thing for certain, is WhatsApp incredible growth potential, at current projections it will reach the 1 billion user landmark by 2016.

By Richmond Amoah

Monday, 25 November 2013

Facebook attempts to bite into Snapchat

Snapchat’s 23-year-old CEO, Evan Spiegel, has reportedly declined a £1.84bn cashoffer from Facebook. Snapchat is a photo messaging application whose main demographicis between the ages of 13 and 23. Despite having been downloaded by 9% of US mobile phoneusers and handling 400 million messages everyday, Snapchat has as of yet failed to generate any revenue. Although, Twitter has managed to receive a valuation of £20bn when it floated on November 7th, despite never generating a profit. Only 5 months ago, when Snapchat received a second series of investments, it was valued at £500m.


The Snapchat team urgently needs to find revenue sources. They cannot continue making losses in the long term. Like other similar appcompanies, they could thrive through the use ofadvertisements, however this will most probably cause users to move elsewhere, which is a big issue, because Snapchat is technically easily replicable. It could probably take a couple ofprogrammers a month to come up with an almost identical service. Alternatively Snapchat could sell virtual goods, like some of the online game companies, however this is unlikely to justify Snapchat’s £1.8bn valuation. Unfortunately for Snapchat, their whole model is around the fact that data is never stored. This is set to hinder Snapchat’s success because it means that there is nothing to encourage users the more they use it.Hypothetically, Snapchat users can delete their account and still have their network, as the application relies solely on the user’s address book. If Snapchat cannot keep their users, theywill fail to ‘monetize’ them.

These factors has led me to question Facebook’s strong interest in the two year old company, which would have been their biggest acquisition to date. Facebook has already acquired Instagram, another media sharing application and is planning to introduce a private messaging service within it. This will directly compete with Snapchat in an effort to lure users. On the other hand, Facebook’s bid is understandable to some extent, due to Snapchat’s growing dominance in the picture-sharing market. Snapchat now shares 14% more photos than Facebook. Facebook is simply trying to eliminate the threat of a futurecompetitor. I believe Facebook is willing to pay as much as they need to in order to ensure their longevity and success. But I think Facebook should remain competitive with innovation, not with acquisition. However, no one wants to become the next MySpace.


Burton Biscuit Company

If you love eating biscuits, you must have, at some point, come across Jammie Dodgers and Maryland Cookies. Besides their delicious taste,another similarity between the two brands istheir owners, Burton’s Biscuit Company. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan has recently acquired the UK’s number two biscuit maker for an estimated £350m. However, the managerial team has managed to negotiate themselves a small stake in the business, which hasn’t been performing terribly well of late.  Last year, sales dropped by £8m to £333m. This isn’t the first time; Canada's biggest single-profession pension fund has struck in the UK, with their stakes here currently valued at £4.3bn. This represents nearly 6% of theirtotal net assets of £77bn. In fact, just four weeks ago, the fund also purchased the Busy Bees nursery chain. These two companies will now belong to the Fund’s UK rooster, which alsoincludes the likes of Birmingham Airport and Camelot, best known for operating the National Lottery. 

Tuesday, 2 July 2013

Can the new Bank of England King get the Economy back to its old prosperous ways?

Yesterday 65 year old Mervyn Alister King made way for the new Canadian Governor of the Bank of England, 48 year old Mark Carney. Carney comes into power at a difficult economic time when the UK has struggled to experience significant growth despite numerous efforts. Carney also has big boots to fill after the relatively successful tenure of his predecessor who was governor for 10 years and his monetary policies helped the UK to have positive GDP growth for a long period. However most recently King has been unsuccessful in tackling the economy after the global meltdown in 2007, as after placing in historically low interest rates, growth has failed to pick up.

The Bank of England is no ordinary bank. It is not like a high street bank. So you may be wondering what the Bank of England actually does?

1) The Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England (consisting of Governor) meets every month and its main task, set by the government, is to keep inflation at 2%
2) It is looking at what it expects inflation to be in about two years' time, as it assumes changes in rates will take that long to work
3) It sets Bank rate, which is the percentage it charges on loans it makes to banks and other financial institutions. That influences what the banks and building societies charge for loans and mortgages and the returns they pay to savers
4) It acts as the banker for the government. The government needs a bank just as we do.
5) It designs and issues banknotes.
6) It replaces notes that are old

Why are interest rates important?

(To households)
If interest rates are too high, the incentive to save will be high as there will be higher returns on savings. So instead of spending in the firms, households will decide to save instead so there is less consumption. This will cause a fall in business confidence and so less investment and less jobs.

On the otherhand if interest rates are too low then the incentive to save won't be high enough so everyone will spend as returns to savings won't be high enough. Then there will be too much money chasing not enough goods causing the "deathly"inflation

(To Firms)
To encourage growth in the economy Sir Mervyn King dropped interest rates, this reduces the cost of borrowing so this means production costs become lower for firms who take out new Loans and have existing loans . As a result profit expectations become higher, so firms are more willing to invest as there is higher returns for shareholders. This means more jobs and higher GDP. But because business confidence was so low, firms didn't really care about these changes so no growth occurred unfortunately.

Recent interest rate trends

1) January 2003 - January 2008
Fluctuated between 3.5% - 5.7%

2) January 08 - January 2009
Dropped dramtically fallen from 5.5 % to 0.5%

3) March 2009 to January 2013
Interest rates have remained at 0.5%


Mark Carney Profile
Age: 48
Hometown: Fort Smith, Canada
Appointed by: George Osborne, Chancellor of the Exchequer (Tories)
Osborne Description: "outstanding central banker of his generation"
Salary : £620 000 (20% more than King)
Contract Length: 5 years (Normally 8 years)
Previous Employment: Governor of Canada central back
Top banker in Goldman Sachs for 13 years (where he already worked in London)
Education: Went to Oxbridge and Harvard just like King and the 3 other previous governors
Why he's so liked? : With his help, Canada didn't suffer severely like other western countries during recession

Mark Carney is clearly a distinguished banker but just because he's been effective in helping the Canadian Economy, this does not been he'll be able to help us out of Economic mess after all, the UK's GDP is almost twice of Canada's and interest rate mechanisms have significantly different effects due to varying levels of home ownership which makes up a large proportion of UK household expenditure. Whether Carney is successful depends on many factors, but whatever happens, EconomicsMate will keep you updated.

Tuesday, 26 February 2013

Absence

Sorry guys I haven't been able to post any articles, I've been ill. As soon as I get better, I promise to upload as many as I can!!

Tuesday, 12 February 2013

You need to GET SET APPLY

I just finished having a wonderful conversation with Gerard Gregg-Smith,
the managing director of GCS associates who was pupil at my current school (Christ's Hospital).

He told me about a fantastic website: getsetapply.com

I wished I had found this website earlier as it would've helped me a lot when making the difficult decision of university courses.

If your looking to apply to Uni later on this year or know anyone that's about to, point them to this helpful shortcut.