By Richmond Amoah
A Blog to share Economic knowledge. Targeted at anyone who is interested in Economics and Finance. Feel free to post!!
Tuesday, 22 April 2014
The Co-Op is not coping?
By Richmond Amoah
Sunday, 23 February 2014
What’s up with WhatsApp?
Monday, 25 November 2013
Facebook attempts to bite into Snapchat
Snapchat’s 23-year-old CEO, Evan Spiegel, has reportedly declined a £1.84bn cashoffer from Facebook. Snapchat is a photo messaging application whose main demographicis between the ages of 13 and 23. Despite having been downloaded by 9% of US mobile phoneusers and handling 400 million messages everyday, Snapchat has as of yet failed to generate any revenue. Although, Twitter has managed to receive a valuation of £20bn when it floated on November 7th, despite never generating a profit. Only 5 months ago, when Snapchat received a second series of investments, it was valued at £500m.
The Snapchat team urgently needs to find revenue sources. They cannot continue making losses in the long term. Like other similar appcompanies, they could thrive through the use ofadvertisements, however this will most probably cause users to move elsewhere, which is a big issue, because Snapchat is technically easily replicable. It could probably take a couple ofprogrammers a month to come up with an almost identical service. Alternatively Snapchat could sell virtual goods, like some of the online game companies, however this is unlikely to justify Snapchat’s £1.8bn valuation. Unfortunately for Snapchat, their whole model is around the fact that data is never stored. This is set to hinder Snapchat’s success because it means that there is nothing to encourage users the more they use it.Hypothetically, Snapchat users can delete their account and still have their network, as the application relies solely on the user’s address book. If Snapchat cannot keep their users, theywill fail to ‘monetize’ them.
These factors has led me to question Facebook’s strong interest in the two year old company, which would have been their biggest acquisition to date. Facebook has already acquired Instagram, another media sharing application and is planning to introduce a private messaging service within it. This will directly compete with Snapchat in an effort to lure users. On the other hand, Facebook’s bid is understandable to some extent, due to Snapchat’s growing dominance in the picture-sharing market. Snapchat now shares 14% more photos than Facebook. Facebook is simply trying to eliminate the threat of a futurecompetitor. I believe Facebook is willing to pay as much as they need to in order to ensure their longevity and success. But I think Facebook should remain competitive with innovation, not with acquisition. However, no one wants to become the next MySpace.
Burton Biscuit Company
If you love eating biscuits, you must have, at some point, come across Jammie Dodgers and Maryland Cookies. Besides their delicious taste,another similarity between the two brands istheir owners, Burton’s Biscuit Company. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan has recently acquired the UK’s number two biscuit maker for an estimated £350m. However, the managerial team has managed to negotiate themselves a small stake in the business, which hasn’t been performing terribly well of late. Last year, sales dropped by £8m to £333m. This isn’t the first time; Canada's biggest single-profession pension fund has struck in the UK, with their stakes here currently valued at £4.3bn. This represents nearly 6% of theirtotal net assets of £77bn. In fact, just four weeks ago, the fund also purchased the Busy Bees nursery chain. These two companies will now belong to the Fund’s UK rooster, which alsoincludes the likes of Birmingham Airport and Camelot, best known for operating the National Lottery.
Tuesday, 2 July 2013
Can the new Bank of England King get the Economy back to its old prosperous ways?
The Bank of England is no ordinary bank. It is not like a high street bank. So you may be wondering what the Bank of England actually does?
1) The Monetary Policy Committee at the Bank of England (consisting of Governor) meets every month and its main task, set by the government, is to keep inflation at 2%
2) It is looking at what it expects inflation to be in about two years' time, as it assumes changes in rates will take that long to work
3) It sets Bank rate, which is the percentage it charges on loans it makes to banks and other financial institutions. That influences what the banks and building societies charge for loans and mortgages and the returns they pay to savers
4) It acts as the banker for the government. The government needs a bank just as we do.
5) It designs and issues banknotes.
6) It replaces notes that are old
Why are interest rates important?
(To households)
If interest rates are too high, the incentive to save will be high as there will be higher returns on savings. So instead of spending in the firms, households will decide to save instead so there is less consumption. This will cause a fall in business confidence and so less investment and less jobs.
On the otherhand if interest rates are too low then the incentive to save won't be high enough so everyone will spend as returns to savings won't be high enough. Then there will be too much money chasing not enough goods causing the "deathly"inflation
(To Firms)
To encourage growth in the economy Sir Mervyn King dropped interest rates, this reduces the cost of borrowing so this means production costs become lower for firms who take out new Loans and have existing loans . As a result profit expectations become higher, so firms are more willing to invest as there is higher returns for shareholders. This means more jobs and higher GDP. But because business confidence was so low, firms didn't really care about these changes so no growth occurred unfortunately.
Recent interest rate trends
1) January 2003 - January 2008
Fluctuated between 3.5% - 5.7%
2) January 08 - January 2009
Dropped dramtically fallen from 5.5 % to 0.5%
3) March 2009 to January 2013
Interest rates have remained at 0.5%
Mark Carney Profile
Age: 48
Hometown: Fort Smith, Canada
Appointed by: George Osborne, Chancellor of the Exchequer (Tories)
Osborne Description: "outstanding central banker of his generation"
Salary : £620 000 (20% more than King)
Contract Length: 5 years (Normally 8 years)
Previous Employment: Governor of Canada central back
Top banker in Goldman Sachs for 13 years (where he already worked in London)
Education: Went to Oxbridge and Harvard just like King and the 3 other previous governors
Why he's so liked? : With his help, Canada didn't suffer severely like other western countries during recession
Mark Carney is clearly a distinguished banker but just because he's been effective in helping the Canadian Economy, this does not been he'll be able to help us out of Economic mess after all, the UK's GDP is almost twice of Canada's and interest rate mechanisms have significantly different effects due to varying levels of home ownership which makes up a large proportion of UK household expenditure. Whether Carney is successful depends on many factors, but whatever happens, EconomicsMate will keep you updated.
Tuesday, 26 February 2013
Absence
Tuesday, 12 February 2013
You need to GET SET APPLY
the managing director of GCS associates who was pupil at my current school (Christ's Hospital).
He told me about a fantastic website: getsetapply.com
I wished I had found this website earlier as it would've helped me a lot when making the difficult decision of university courses.
If your looking to apply to Uni later on this year or know anyone that's about to, point them to this helpful shortcut.
Sunday, 20 January 2013
Blockbusters goes bust
For those who don’t know Blockbusters is an
international provider of movie and video game services with 60.000 employees
worldwide, many of them operating in the 1000 store strong American subsidy of the
firm. They first opened their doors in the United Kingdom in 1989, after being successfully
received by Americans since its launch in the USA four years earlier in 1985. Blockbusters
were a very successful business before the emergence of internet competitors
such as LoveFilm, now owed by the Internet giant Amazon.co.uk. Also due to the
popularity of DVD piracy, the demand for DVD’s is very low, even though some of
the most commercially successful firms of all time have occurred in the last decade
(Slumdog Millionaire, Avatar, etc). Many people can now watch nearly any widely
known film online almost instantly by typing the phrase “Watch (movie name)
free online” for free and without leaving their home. Due
to this and probably mismanagement too, Blockbusters UK was taken into administration on Wednesday 16th of January 2013 by Deloitte, a member of the big
four audit firms. The firm has shed around 100 stores in the last few years and
is set to do so to 160 more of their stores. Its highly likely that 760 people
will face redundancies and will be added to the UK’s staggeringly high unemployment
pile and unfortunately it is also likely that another 4000 people could risk
unemployment if the administrators fail to find a buyer.
Deloitte has said “Having reviewed the portfolio with
management, the store closure plan is an inevitable consequence of having to
restructure the company to a profitable core which is capable of being sold.”Wednesday, 9 January 2013
Does Reducing Interest Rates always stimulate short term Economic Growth?
Consumption and investment are both major components of Aggregate Demand accounting for almost 80% Aggregate Demand. An important determinant of the AD components value is interest rates which is controlled by the Independent Bank of England using monetary tools. Low interest rates encourage consumers to borrow money from banks due the cheaper cost of repayment, this extra money makes consumers feel wealthier (wealth effect) therefore they’ll be willing to buy more goods from the Market. This causes the AD curve to shift to the right where there is a higher price level, inflation.
Similarly a reduction in interest rates will encourage firms to take out loans, as again the repayment cost will be lower. IN addition lowering interest rates will reduce the incentive of firms to keep money in Banks as the rate of returns will be lower. This money is invested in capital and training of existing and new staff so inefficiency can be decreases. This is shown on the graph below. The productive potential of the economy moves from Point A to Point B, which is closer to the PPF, where ideally where firms and the Country should be operating at.
Cheaper loans are ideal for business confidence s they reduce total cost which is very important for the profit maximising firms which exist in the Capitalist world. This is because cheaper cost will raise the profitability profile of potential business opportunities (Profit= Revenue - Total Cost). This surge of new investments will shift the AD curve to the right, also because of the multiplier effect the curve will shift even further than anticipated. (Multiplier Effect – Initial change in AD causes a greater final impact on the level of national income).
However surely it’s idiotic to believe that a simple change in interest rates will always stimulate short run Economic growth. This has been demonstrated quite well in our economy, the Bank of England committee set interest rates to record low figures. But despite this there wasn't much economic growth and this premature reduction prevented further reduction in the future that could've actually resulted in growth.
Another reason why I fail to agree is because if the interest rate is reduced dramatically consumers won’t be able to respond if they aren't made aware (Information failure) n. Also consumers and firms won’t respond to the reduction tot the reduction if it’s not significant enough and the interest rate is still relatively high. For example if it was cut by only 0.1% to 4.75%, this may not be enough of an incentive for firms and households to take risks on their future capability to pay it back. Also the interest rates set by the Bank of England for high street banks who might decide not to pass these savings onto potential customers to increase their profit margins for its shareholders.
In addition, a fall in interest rates may not always result in short run economic growth of other AD components change. For Example consumption and investment may increase, but this might be countered by a dramatic fall in net exports, which could happen if the newly acquired loans are used to purchase import goods. This will reduce the x-m figure and cause the AD curve to shift to the left if the change is significant enough. This will actually result in a short run decline, not the intended growth.
There are circumstances in which a drop in interest t=rates will result in growth but id largely depends on the position i which the economy is operating on the AD/AS curve. In this example growth has occurred (Y1 to Y2) as the economy isn’t at its optimum, so the price isn’t at its optimum so the price level P1 remains relatively constant, with no inflation occurring. However if the AD curve was originally at AD3, then an increase to AD4 will produce virtually no economic growth but will cause inflation, as the price level rises from p2 to p3.
A fall in interest rates may cause business confidence to increase as profit expectations will be higher. Due to this more investments will occur which will stimulate growth by raising national output and decreasing unemployment. This is most likely to occur if it happens in conjunction with improved tax policies (from firm perspective) and less government market intervention which can result in Government failure. One example of this is the excessive health and safety rules.
In conclusion i strongly believe that reducing interest rates won’t always result in a rise in economic growth due to the complexity of the economy. Therefore it’s wrong to be absolutely certain about economic policies because of this.
Monday, 26 November 2012
Could this be another present-less Christmas for retail firms?
A research from Ebay has showed that the UK is losing up to £120 million in mobile phone revenue due to the lack of Universal 4g services. Money is being lost as many more consumers are using the web to shop for Christmas gifts via Amazon and Play.com, it is expected that 55% of consumers will use their mobile phones to buy much needed gifts for their love ones. However these consumers are currently being restricted by slow connection speeds. The main barriers are network reliability and payments timing out, the 4g coverage is built specifically to process internet more efficiently and quickly. Even though the UK acted very fasted to capitalise on 3g coverage, it has been slow to answer the calls of consumers demanding the more superior 4g coverage, which is expected to become widespread next year autumn, despite the fact that forty countries such as India and the USA are already benefiting from the new technology already. Clare Gilmartin, the vice president of eBay said “Mobile devices have become virtual stores in our pockets, giving us the ability to shop anytime, anywhere. But for consumers, it’s critical that the experience is quick, seamless and simple. While we welcomed the move by Ofcom to bring the 4G spectrum auction forward to early 2013 there’s no doubt, as this research shows that for the UK economy the cost of another Christmas without universal 4G is huge.”
We’re coming to our sixth competitive Christmas is an economic downturn but this time the UK has been battling against the heavy Government cuts and high unemployment. I don’t think retail firms should expect huge demand for their products. Only time will tell, if Santa Claus can drag us of out of our deep hole along with our European neighbours.Is the UK Transport System good enough?
I
have recently learned that of out of thirteen important, possible UK transport
projects potentially less than half will actually go ahead. One of the unfunded
projects includes the controversial third runway at Heathrow, which I think the Transport Minister Norman Baker, should really urge the Government to
consider, as the airports expansion is imperative to meeting the ever
increasing future air travel forecast. Currently Heathrow’s lack of capacity is
costing the UK economy £14 Billion in lost trade every single year. It’s
important that the UK’s busiest and arguably most important airport can reach a
new higher capacity, which will attract investment by airlines, providing jobs
for some of the 2.5 million unemployed people in the country. Norman Baker said
"Making sure that the country has the transport network it needs to
deliver economic growth is a top priority for us". These cutbacks
contradict the Transport Minister’s plans, however in saying that, he has successfully
secured funding for the high speed 2 rail routes between the UK’s major cities,
London, Birmingham and Manchester.
The
British chambers of commerce said “While the
government has taken important steps to boost infrastructure funding and
delivery since the first budget, the updated assessment shows that too many
transport projects, which are crucial to business growth, are stuck in the slow
lane. We need bold action from the government to improve the UK's transport
infrastructure".
The BCC director said "This kind
of investment is insulated from global uncertainty, and it creates short-term
confidence, jobs in the medium term, and improves the UK's competitiveness in
the long term".Thursday, 8 November 2012
Wednesday, 7 November 2012
UPDATED Can anyone become Oil rich?
.jpg)
"Dubai's Economy was built on the back of the oil industry" (Business Week). Currently Oil production accounts for 6% of its total exports. This is a decrease from previous years since Dubai has diversified into exporting other goods and banking services, by using income from oil to make good investments. On average it produces over 40 barrels a minute and could theoretically be doing this for the next 93 years as it has one of the largest Oil reserves on the world. Partly due to Dubai's small population, their newly acquired new wealth has been shared amongst citizens, although not equally. Famously, Citizens in Dubai don't have to pay any income Tax, which puts more money in their pockets.
On the other hand Angola has also discovered large oil reserves on its shores, which is the 18th biggest oil reserve in the world. Currently Angola is the 17th biggest Oil exporter in the world; however their position is under threat by other African countries such as Ghana which has recently started exporting the commodity too. Angola is a large south African country, more than five times the size of the UK. Currently, around 80% of the country’s revenue is made from the sale of Oil, which clearly shows the country’s large dependence on this sole good, even though Angola has Diamonds and Gold too. Although it’s a major exporter of Oil, the generated revenue has been mostly misspent or stolen by Angola’s notorious, corrupt politicians. Angola’s GDP has increased by 400% since 2004 and is increasing annually by 20%. But this was probably due the political instability from the civil beforehand which meant that exporting (selling to other countries) goods became very hard and dangerous. Even though the country’s economy is growing, 70% of the citizens still live on less than £1.30 a day and Angola is widely regarded as the least developed country in the Africa. Africa’s most populous country, Nigeria, which has the 10th biggest oil reserve in the world, is in a similar position to Angola’s. 40% of Nigeria's GDP is from its Oil industry and its accounts for 80% of the Government spending. Like Angolan politicians, Nigerian politicians have been known to misspend oil revenues ever Since its oil boom in the 1960’s. So the vast oil wealth Nigeria has created hasn't benefited everyone, especially those poorest people in the country.
The general conception is that Oil entitles instant economic growth. But it doesn't. It relies mainly on transparent and efficient management from politicians. So not everyone can become “Oil rich”.
Tuesday, 6 November 2012
Can anyone become "oil rich"?
Oil is a chemical liquid made after millions of years seabed compression, comprising of dead matter such as Fish and Plants. Due to carbon's high carbon content, Oil is a widely used fuel. For example in the electricity, cosmetic and Lubricant industry. Not surprisingly, there is a very large demand for this finite good, so many countries, particularly in the Middle East have taken advantage of this and have become "Oil Rich" in the process. However many other Oil resourceful countries have unsuccessfully attempted to mimicking this success."Dubai's Economy was built on the back of the oil industry" (Business Week). Currently Oil productions accounts for 6% of its total exports. This is a decrease from previous years since Dubai has diversified into exporting other goods and banking services, by using income from oil to make investments. On average it's produces over 40 barrels a minute and could theoretically be doing this for the next 93 years as it has one of the largest Oil reserves on the world. Partly due to Dubai's small population, their new wealth has been shared amongst citizens although not equally. Famously now Citizens don't have to pay Tax, which puts more money in pockets.

On the otherhand, Nigeria has also discovered large oil reserves on its shores, which is the 10th biggest oil reserve in the world. Subsequently 40% of Nigeria's GDP is from its Oil industry and its accounts for 80% of the governments spending. Nigeria is a large African state with a population of over 120 million, its the 7th most populated country. Although its a major exporter much of the Oil revenue has been misspent or stolen by Nigeria's notorious politicians, so many of the country's poor inhabitants have been able to benefit from the GDP surge.
Just because you have Oil, it doesn't mean you instantly become rich. It relies mainly on transparent and efficient management from politicians.

.jpg)
.jpg)


